Episódios

  • ALO30: The Quiet Rewire of Portfolio Construction ft. Cian Walsh
    Jul 9 2025

    Cian Walsh, Head of Hedge Funds and Private Debt at Formue, joins Alan Dunne to explore what it means to allocate capital when the macro regime, client expectations, and the structure of markets are all in flux. He explains why the 60/40 model obscures more than it reveals, how he is adapting institutional frameworks for thousands of private clients, and what changes when you view hedge funds not as a bucket, but as a function. From the discipline of sizing trend in a sideways regime to the slow shift from vintage private credit to evergreen, this is a conversation about building portfolios that can hold together when the ground moves.

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    50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

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    Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.

    IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

    And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfoliohere.

    Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

    Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com

    And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

    Follow Alan on Twitter.

    Follow Cian on LinkedIn.

    Episode TimeStamps:

    02:12 - Introduction to Cian Walsh

    05:30 - How does institutional asset allocation stand out?

    06:39 - Asset allocation in a shifting regime

    09:33 - A move towards mass customization

    10:26 - The 60/40 portfolio is dying - what is next?

    13:28 - The challenges of implementing a total portfolio approach

    17:16 - Dealing with underperforming strategies

    20:09 - More growth or more all-weather?

    23:30 - Why Walsh believes in systematic trading

    28:51 - Do Walsh hold any long volatility strategies?

    30:04 - Walsh's process for selecting managers

    36:55...

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    1 hora e 5 minutos
  • SI355: Drawdowns Don’t Lie, But They May Mislead ft. Alan Dunne
    Jul 5 2025

    Markets have recovered fast - maybe too fast. Alan and Niels unpack what sits beneath the surface: a bond market brushing off record deficits, volatility draining from asset prices, and trend followers caught between sharp reversals and shrinking conviction. They explore how sentiment, structure, and speed are shaping today’s trading environment, and what most investors still underestimate about liquidity, macro policy, and risk. With fresh research in hand, they ask whether drawdowns are misunderstood, if diversification has become an illusion, and why clarity often emerges only after the pain. We do recognize that we had some technical issues with this recording and appreciate you for sticking with us.

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    50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

    -----


    Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.

    IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

    And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfoliohere.

    Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

    Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com

    And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

    Follow Alan on Twitter.

    Episode TimeStamps:

    00:57 - What has caught our attention recently?

    04:38 - Industry performance update

    07:38 - Is trend thriving?

    09:57 - Dunne's global macro overview

    16:33 - A catastrophic year for the dollar

    18:12 - Is this time different for trend following drawdowns?

    27:26 - The value of long term track records

    34:30 - Is trend following flawed?

    37:48 - What are investors actually interested in?

    44:32 - What is up for next week?

    Copyright © 2024 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved

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    PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:

    1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about

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    46 minutos
  • SI354: Everyone’s Different. Until They’re Not ft. Rob Carver
    Jun 28 2025

    With markets drifting and conviction thinning, Rob Carver joins Niels to take stock of a moment that feels suspended... not quite crisis, not quite calm. They discuss why recent rule changes around bank capital and crypto assets may carry more weight than headlines suggest, and what falling shipping volumes might be whispering about global demand. Rob breaks down the math of drawdowns, the tension between Kelly sizing and real-world volatility, and how systematic managers can fool themselves into thinking they’re diversified. It’s a conversation about structure, discipline, and why most edges today come from avoiding mistakes rather than discovering secrets.

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    50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

    -----


    Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.

    IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

    And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfoliohere.

    Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

    Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com

    And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

    Follow Rob on Twitter.

    Episode TimeStamps:

    01:07 - What has caught out attention recently?

    01:23 - Rob and Niels have done the unthinkable

    02:59 - Fed is rolling back important capital rules

    05:22 - What the shipping industry reveals about the economy

    07:33 - Industry performance update

    16:00 - Q1, William: Is it possible to apply the concept of decomposing returns in commodity trading?

    27:24 - Q2, Raphael: About estimating the full sharpe and Kelly of trend following

    37:03 - Q3, Dom: Has Rob come across any useful frameworks, research, or resources for designing systems that intentionally combine systematic structure with discretionary judgment?

    41:52 - Are all managers the same, although we all claim to be different?

    52:26 - Why are bond...

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    1 hora e 13 minutos
  • GM84: What Everyone Saw, but No One Priced ft. Bob Elliott
    Jun 25 2025

    Bob Elliott joins Cem Karsan and Niels Kaastrup-Larsen for a conversation about what happens when strong economic data masks a deeper structural shift. The income engine still runs, but tariffs, labor scarcity, and immigration limits are quietly rewiring the system. Inflation may not fall the way people expect. Profit margins may not hold. And capital may start flowing away from the US for the first time in a generation. This isn’t a cycle call. It’s a question of what kind of economy we are becoming—and whether portfolios built for the past can survive what’s coming.

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    50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

    -----


    Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.

    IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

    And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfoliohere.

    Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

    Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com

    And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

    Follow Cem on Twitter.

    Follow Bob on Twitter.

    Episode TimeStamps:

    02:58 - Revisiting the Income Driven Expansion

    12:30 - Inflation Dynamics and Economic Policy

    15:31 - The Dynamics of Labor and Immigration

    27:58 - Strategic Decoupling and Its Implications

    32:04 - The Economic Implications of Manufacturing in China

    42:13 - Economic Growth and Market Dynamics

    48:28 - The Evolving Landscape of Investment Strategies

    53:25 - Understanding Alpha Strategies and Portfolio Diversification

    01:01:10 - The Dynamics of Hedge Fund Strategies and Correlation

    01:09:34 - Global Macro Trends and Financial Decoupling

    Copyright © 2024 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved

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    PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help

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    1 hora e 15 minutos
  • SI353: You Don’t Buy It for Returns. You Buy It Because It Works! ft. Yoav Git
    Jun 21 2025

    Some of the most effective portfolio components may generate little or no return on their own. In this episode, Niels Kaastrup-Larsen and Yoav Git explore that discomfort - why allocators often overlook strategies that offer the most structural value. Through a series of new research papers, they examine how negative correlation, volatility, and capital efficiency can outweigh standalone performance, and why trend following continues to challenge conventional assumptions. It’s a conversation about construction over conviction, contribution over headline returns, and the gap between what improves a portfolio and what investors are willing to own.

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    50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

    -----


    Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.

    IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

    And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfoliohere.

    Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

    Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com

    And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

    Follow Yoav on LinkedIn.

    Episode TimeStamps:

    00:13 - Introduction and latest update

    07:57 - Trend Following score card

    12:38 - Latest paper from R.G. Niederhoffer

    26:45 - Latest insights from Quantica Capital

    36:55 - Review of Soc Gen's latest report on the state of the CTA Industry

    44:52 - The Science and Practice of Trend-following Systems paper by Artur Sepp

    Resources discussed in this Episode:

    • LINK SI353: From Tariffs to Trends
    • LINK SI353: Keeping up with the Trend-Followers
    • LINK SI353: The Science & Practice of Trend-Following Systems

    Copyright © 2024 – CMC...

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    1 hora e 9 minutos
  • GM83: The Risk We Forgot to Price ft. Barry Eichengreen
    Jun 18 2025

    Barry Eichengreen joins Alan Dunne for a clear-eyed look at a system losing its anchors. The dollar’s standing, long insulated by trust and habit, now faces a different kind of test... one shaped less by challengers abroad than by fractures at home. They explore how rising debt, political entropy, and institutional strain are converging in ways that markets are only beginning to price. From the quiet retreat of safe haven flows to the uneasy future of central bank independence, this is a conversation about slow shifts with fast consequences, and what happens when credibility, not currency, becomes the liability.

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    50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

    -----


    Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.

    IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

    And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfoliohere.

    Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

    Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com

    And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

    Follow Alan on Twitter.

    Follow Barry on Twitter.

    Episode TimeStamps:

    00:09 - Introduction to Barry Eichengreen

    03:51 - The Future of the Dollar: Concerns and Predictions

    14:29 - Fiscal Challenges and Policy Responses

    33:04 - Analyzing Economic Policies and Their Impacts

    49:18 - Global Economic Perspectives: Trade Wars and Currency Alternatives

    56:46 - The Future of Global Currency Systems

    Copyright © 2024 – CMC AG – All Rights Reserved

    ----

    PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:

    1. eBooks that cover key topics that you need to know about

    In my eBooks, I put together some key discoveries and things I have learnt during the more than 3...

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    1 hora e 2 minutos
  • SI352: Trend Systems Under Strain ft. Nick Baltas
    Jun 14 2025

    Nick Baltas is back with Niels for a conversation that sits at the intersection of technology, uncertainty, and discipline. As AI-generated data floods the system and market reversals grow sharper, the challenge isn’t just strategy design — it’s deciding what still counts as signal. They explore how systematic managers are rethinking volatility targets, why certain constraints persist in institutional portfolios, and what recent underperformance may actually be revealing. This episode is less about solutions than about orientation: how to stay aligned when the tools evolve faster than the terrain, and when conviction must coexist with doubt.

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    50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE

    -----


    Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website.

    IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here.

    And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfoliohere.

    Learn more about the Trend Barometer here.

    Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com

    And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast.

    Follow Nick on Twitter.

    Episode TimeStamps:

    00:01 - Introduction to Systematic Investing

    02:11 - The Impact of AI and Machine Learning on Data Analysis

    07:05 - The Impact of AI on Education and Examination Policies

    12:06 - Transitioning Perspectives on Democracy and Markets

    21:49 - Dynamic Volatility Targeting in Portfolio Management

    24:24 - Exploring Volatility and Leverage

    29:50 - Understanding Investor Behavior and Market Dynamics

    36:29 - Exploring Investment Constraints and Strategies

    45:04 - Rethinking Investment Constraints

    49:36 - Strategic Allocations and Market Timing

    56:11 - Market Dynamics and Trend Following

    01:00:09 - The Evolution of Systematic Investing

    Copyright © 2024 – CMC AG – All Rights...

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    1 hora e 4 minutos